I decided to try my hand at seeding teams for this year NCAA tournament.
(Link has been removed)
Here is the process I followed:
To seed the teams, I used 4 metrics: 1) The average of the team's AP and Coach's poll ranking; 2) RPI Ranking of the team; 3) Pomeroy Ranking of the team; 4) Sagarin ranking of the team. For each team, I dropped the worst ranking of the four and averaged the other three rankings. If a team was unranked in one or both polls, I automatically dropped the poll average in my average.
For instance, Illinois is number 11 in the Pomeroy, 13 in RPI, 8th on the Sagarin scale and 9th in both polls. In this process, I drop the RPI ranking and use the average of the other three, which comes to 9.33
Anyways, I did this calculation for all 31 conference champions and then took the top 34 at-large teams. I ranked all 65 teams and did my brackets using the NCAA guidelines. The only regulations I didn't consider were avoiding non-conference rematches in early rounds, and limiting travel.
I *DID* make it a point to place teams from the same conference in the bracket correctly with respect to NCAA guidelines.
Many conference championships have not been played as of me writing this:
- Southland: This will only affect 13-16 seeded teams, thus an upset wouldn't change things dramatically. I've projected Northwestern St. as the winner.
- Mountain West Conference: This will only affect 12-16 seeded teams, thus an upset wouldn't change things dramatically. I've projected San Diego St. as the winner.
- Big West Conference: This will only affect 12-16 seeded teams, thus an upset wouldn't change things dramatically. I've projected Pacific as the winner.
- ACC: I already have both finalists in my bracket, no matter who wins. I've projected Duke to win.
- Big Ten: I already have both finalists in my bracket, no matter who wins. I've projected Ohio St. to win.
- Big 12: I already have both finalists in my bracket, no matter who wins. I've projected Texas to win.
- SEC: This one is dicey. I've projected Florida to win this game. If they don't win, South Carolina will be the SEC Tournament champion. They would take the place of Oklahoma State (12 seed in the Washington DC region) in the NCAA bracket.